Estimativa da Evaporação em Albufeiras do Sul de Portugal pelo Modelo FLAKE

Abstract

The aim of this work is to be able to simulate the evaporation from reservoirs in southern Portugal(a drought prone area) by applying the FLAKE lake model. The model was forced with over-lake atmospheric measurements from the Water Institute monitoring network over the period from 2002 to 2006. Simulation results were compared against observational water temperature profiles and a statistic analysis was used to set optimal model parameters for each reservoir studied. Comparison shows that the model is able to simulate the annual cycle of water temperatures, and to predict realistic patterns of evaporation rates.