The Temporal Trends of Mortality Due to Tuberculosis in Brazil: Tracing the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic’s Effect Through a Bayesian Approach and Unmasking Disparities
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Microorganisms
Abstract
An ecological study of TB deaths recorded in
the Mortality Information System (SIM) from 2012 to 2022 was conducted. Trends and
percentage changes in the mortality were estimated. A Bayesian Structural Time Series
model combined with an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model was used
to assess the pandemic’s effect on TB.
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Citation
Tavares, R.B.V.; Gomes, D.;
Berra, T.Z.; Alves, Y.M.; Ramos, A.C.V.;
Popolin, M.A.P.; Abade, A.d.S.; Zini,
N.; Tártaro, A.F.; Alves, J.D.; et al. The
Temporal Trends of Mortality Due to
Tuberculosis in Brazil: Tracing the
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
Pandemic’s Effect Through a Bayesian
Approach and Unmasking Disparities.
Microorganisms 2025, 13, 1145. https://
doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms13051145